← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College2.71+1.89vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.06+2.02vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.70+1.82vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.79+0.57vs Predicted
-
5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30+2.78vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.33-1.44vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.51-2.92vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.93-4.82vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.56-0.67vs Predicted
-
11Brandeis University-0.91-1.08vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.76vs Predicted
-
15Middlebury College-0.68-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.89Connecticut College2.710.3%1st Place
-
4.02Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
-
4.82Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
-
4.57Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
-
7.78Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
-
5.56Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
-
5.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.510.1%1st Place
-
4.18Boston University1.930.2%1st Place
-
9.33University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
-
9.92Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
-
10.24University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
-
9.62Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Florio | 26.5% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 13.5% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sharpe | 11.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Reyes | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Swanson | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carl Noble | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 20.3% | 14.2% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 23.8% | 26.6% |
| Nicole Plona | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 20.6% | 36.3% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 23.0% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.