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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+6.10vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.27+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.64vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.54+3.11vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.26+1.75vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.30+0.16vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-1.81vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-0.78+4.93vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.14-2.58vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.73-2.27vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-0.50vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.27-2.92vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.72-3.29vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.55-1.71vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-3.68vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-0.85-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.797.8%1st Place
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4.84U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.0%1st Place
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5.0Georgetown University2.2714.6%1st Place
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5.64University of Pennsylvania2.1610.0%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University1.545.1%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University1.266.2%1st Place
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7.16Webb Institute1.306.6%1st Place
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6.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.9%1st Place
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8.05George Washington University1.446.2%1st Place
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14.93University of Virginia-0.780.8%1st Place
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8.42Cornell University1.145.3%1st Place
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9.73Christopher Newport University0.733.5%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.9%1st Place
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11.08Princeton University0.272.8%1st Place
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11.71Hampton University0.721.6%1st Place
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14.29Washington College-0.551.1%1st Place
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13.32SUNY Maritime College-0.130.9%1st Place
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15.19Drexel University-0.850.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 28.3% |
| Ava Gustafson | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Robert Finora | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 20.4% | 18.1% |
| Luke Barker | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.