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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.19vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.24vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.79-0.24vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.05+1.60vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.81-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.27+0.96vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.48-2.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy1.02-2.23vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.82-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.24Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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2.76U. S. Naval Academy2.790.3%1st Place
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5.6McGill University1.050.1%1st Place
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4.28SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Military Academy1.020.1%1st Place
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8.22Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 20.6% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Nicol | 17.8% | 22.4% | 20.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Allsopp | 29.0% | 22.3% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Krock | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 4.2% |
| Jeff Markarian | 10.9% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 34.2% | 18.5% |
| Philip Krug | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 5.7% |
| Kenneth Wink | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.