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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+2.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+0.84vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.76+1.34vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.48+1.01vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+1.42vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.24+2.08vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.48+0.42vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.51+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41+1.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.16-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.64-3.99vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.22-6.72vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.36-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Connecticut College1.980.2%1st Place
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2.84Tufts University2.480.3%1st Place
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4.34Boston University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.01Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.42Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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8.08Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University0.480.1%1st Place
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9.76Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.46University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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10.01University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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5.3McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 17.8% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 28.6% | 24.3% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Stoycos | 13.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Claire Lockard | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Emma Davis | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 14.7% |
| Noah Stern | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 54.0% |
| Alexander Peraire-Bueno | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 4.4% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 23.2% | 16.8% |
| Steven Honig | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Mete Sayin | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.