Race 3B

no-ringer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emilia Clementi 16.9% 16.4% 17.0% 13.1% 11.6% 10.4% 7.8% 3.4% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 28.6% 23.8% 16.3% 13.2% 8.6% 4.9% 2.8% 0.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Stoycos 12.8% 15.3% 13.8% 13.3% 15.4% 10.5% 7.3% 6.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Emma Davis 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.9% 9.5% 8.6% 11.6% 13.4% 11.2% 11.1% 6.2% 1.7%
Mete Sayin 10.0% 9.5% 13.0% 11.1% 11.3% 11.8% 10.5% 10.0% 6.3% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Steven Honig 3.1% 3.1% 4.3% 4.5% 5.8% 7.9% 9.5% 10.6% 13.2% 12.6% 12.6% 9.4% 3.4%
Benjamin Eley 6.9% 6.1% 6.7% 8.9% 9.1% 11.6% 12.1% 12.4% 10.2% 8.1% 5.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Jade Forsberg 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 9.2% 12.4% 13.8% 13.4% 10.7% 9.7% 2.5%
Claire Lockard 10.8% 11.7% 11.4% 13.4% 10.9% 11.9% 11.4% 7.6% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Noah Stern 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 4.0% 5.4% 9.2% 17.0% 52.7%
Benjamin Shaiman 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 7.5% 8.1% 13.6% 15.9% 20.3% 14.0%
Alexander Peraire-Bueno 1.9% 3.0% 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 6.5% 9.3% 8.5% 10.6% 14.6% 15.9% 9.7% 5.1%
Rudolf Hauser 1.3% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 3.0% 4.2% 6.3% 9.4% 11.2% 14.8% 23.7% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.