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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+2.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+0.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.48+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.76+0.32vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.36+0.15vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.48-1.10vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.41+3.43vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.24-0.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.22-1.93vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University-0.51-3.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.16-5.61vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.64-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Connecticut College1.980.2%1st Place
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2.87Tufts University2.480.3%1st Place
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7.57Brown University0.480.0%1st Place
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4.32Boston University1.760.1%1st Place
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5.15McGill University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.9Northeastern University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.36Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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11.43University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
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8.13Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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9.72Brandeis University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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10.24University of New Hampshire-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 16.8% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 28.6% | 23.2% | 18.7% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Davis | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Stoycos | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mete Sayin | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Claire Lockard | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Noah Stern | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 50.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Steven Honig | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Shaiman | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 19.7% | 14.0% |
| Alexander Peraire-Bueno | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
| Rudolf Hauser | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.