← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Zupkus 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 12.0% 14.9% 15.4% 16.5% 14.2% 4.4%
Nathan Housberg 30.3% 27.6% 16.4% 11.7% 8.3% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Courtney Bergh 19.3% 19.1% 18.6% 16.7% 12.1% 9.0% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Julia Fuller 15.4% 15.2% 17.4% 15.9% 13.6% 11.8% 6.7% 3.4% 0.6%
John Hughes 3.8% 4.5% 8.4% 8.0% 10.9% 11.6% 18.3% 19.2% 15.3%
Sophie Goemans 10.6% 12.5% 13.4% 15.0% 16.4% 15.1% 11.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Ella Cedarholm 2.2% 2.7% 2.0% 3.8% 5.2% 7.6% 13.0% 26.3% 37.2%
Caroline Salas 9.2% 8.2% 12.4% 13.5% 14.0% 16.6% 14.3% 8.1% 3.7%
Dylan Quenneville 2.3% 2.7% 3.2% 3.4% 4.6% 9.2% 13.9% 23.5% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.