← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+4.30vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.20+0.60vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.64+0.33vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.34-0.20vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.02+1.14vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.05-1.66vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.66+0.37vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.78-3.15vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-0.62-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.3Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
-
2.6Brown University2.200.3%1st Place
-
3.33Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
-
3.8Tufts University1.340.2%1st Place
-
6.14Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
-
4.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.050.1%1st Place
-
7.37University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
-
4.85Boston University0.780.1%1st Place
-
7.29Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zupkus | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Housberg | 30.3% | 27.6% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Bergh | 19.3% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Julia Fuller | 15.4% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| John Hughes | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| Sophie Goemans | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 26.3% | 37.2% |
| Caroline Salas | 9.2% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Dylan Quenneville | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.