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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sophie Goemans 11.3% 11.7% 13.3% 15.3% 16.2% 15.4% 9.8% 5.6% 1.4%
Nathan Housberg 31.0% 25.5% 18.9% 12.5% 6.5% 4.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1%
John Hughes 3.3% 4.5% 5.4% 7.6% 9.9% 13.0% 22.0% 20.8% 13.5%
Julia Fuller 13.5% 17.8% 16.7% 16.3% 14.9% 9.3% 7.8% 3.0% 0.7%
John Zupkus 6.6% 10.0% 10.5% 11.6% 13.0% 16.5% 13.6% 12.5% 5.7%
Ella Cedarholm 2.2% 2.0% 2.7% 4.3% 5.8% 8.4% 13.5% 24.4% 36.7%
Caroline Salas 8.4% 7.5% 11.1% 13.9% 15.2% 17.2% 14.1% 9.4% 3.2%
Dylan Quenneville 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 5.3% 7.5% 14.9% 22.5% 38.3%
Courtney Bergh 21.7% 18.1% 18.2% 15.1% 13.2% 8.7% 3.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.