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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.05+3.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.20+0.57vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.02+3.28vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.34-0.20vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.66+1.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.78-2.06vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.62-0.69vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.64-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.050.1%1st Place
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2.57Brown University2.200.3%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University1.340.1%1st Place
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5.15Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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7.31University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.94Boston University0.780.1%1st Place
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7.31Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.28Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Goemans | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Housberg | 31.0% | 25.5% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Hughes | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 20.8% | 13.5% |
| Julia Fuller | 13.5% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| John Zupkus | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 24.4% | 36.7% |
| Caroline Salas | 8.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
| Dylan Quenneville | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 14.9% | 22.5% | 38.3% |
| Courtney Bergh | 21.7% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.