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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+2.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.20+0.44vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.78+1.66vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.02+1.97vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.34-1.44vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.62+1.11vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.10-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.66-0.81vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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2.44Brown University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.66Boston University0.780.1%1st Place
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5.97Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University1.340.2%1st Place
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7.11Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.100.0%1st Place
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7.19University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
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5.01Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Bergh | 21.7% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 34.1% | 25.2% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Salas | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| John Hughes | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 14.3% |
| Julia Fuller | 16.6% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Quenneville | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 15.7% | 24.0% | 32.2% |
| Pavlina Karafillis | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 10.4% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 21.6% | 36.8% |
| John Zupkus | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.