Race 4A

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Courtney Bergh 22.0% 19.9% 19.1% 15.2% 11.6% 8.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Nathan Housberg 33.2% 26.4% 18.6% 10.9% 6.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Julia Fuller 15.3% 16.8% 18.5% 17.3% 13.5% 11.1% 5.7% 1.4% 0.4%
John Zupkus 7.3% 9.3% 10.3% 13.4% 16.8% 15.1% 13.8% 10.1% 3.9%
Caroline Salas 9.2% 11.9% 14.9% 14.4% 14.7% 14.2% 10.6% 7.1% 3.0%
Pavlina Karafillis 4.3% 4.8% 7.0% 10.4% 12.1% 15.7% 18.8% 16.6% 10.3%
John Hughes 3.9% 5.1% 4.8% 9.6% 12.2% 16.0% 17.5% 19.0% 11.9%
Dylan Quenneville 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 7.2% 8.9% 14.1% 22.8% 34.2%
Ella Cedarholm 2.4% 2.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.6% 7.7% 15.6% 21.4% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.