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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ella Cedarholm 2.2% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 8.7% 14.0% 22.2% 38.5%
Caroline Salas 5.7% 8.6% 10.6% 13.4% 18.3% 14.8% 16.2% 8.8% 3.6%
John Hughes 3.4% 4.5% 6.0% 7.9% 8.7% 15.3% 18.9% 21.9% 13.4%
Nathan Housberg 35.1% 27.1% 15.9% 13.4% 5.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Julia Fuller 15.4% 18.4% 15.4% 15.1% 13.9% 11.0% 6.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Courtney Bergh 20.5% 17.4% 21.1% 16.0% 13.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3%
Sophie Goemans 9.6% 11.0% 14.8% 15.2% 16.6% 14.8% 10.8% 5.7% 1.5%
John Zupkus 6.2% 8.2% 9.5% 11.6% 13.3% 18.0% 15.1% 13.2% 4.9%
Dylan Quenneville 1.9% 2.4% 3.9% 3.5% 5.5% 9.0% 13.3% 23.5% 37.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.