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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.66+6.32vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.78+3.05vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.02+3.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.20-1.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.34-1.25vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.64-2.74vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.05-2.57vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-2.73vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.62-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston University0.780.1%1st Place
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6.25Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
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2.38Brown University2.200.4%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.340.2%1st Place
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3.26Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.050.1%1st Place
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5.27Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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7.28Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Cedarholm | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 38.5% |
| Caroline Salas | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| John Hughes | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 13.4% |
| Nathan Housberg | 35.1% | 27.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Fuller | 15.4% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Courtney Bergh | 20.5% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Goemans | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| John Zupkus | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 4.9% |
| Dylan Quenneville | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.