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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.78+3.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.20+0.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.33vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.05+0.29vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.34-1.25vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.56-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.66+0.39vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.62-0.70vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.02-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Boston University0.780.1%1st Place
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2.6Brown University2.200.3%1st Place
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3.33Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.050.1%1st Place
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3.75Tufts University1.340.2%1st Place
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5.25Wentworth Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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7.39University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.3Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.21Northeastern University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Salas | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 31.3% | 25.7% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Bergh | 19.2% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Goemans | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Julia Fuller | 15.1% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| John Zupkus | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 24.1% | 39.1% |
| Dylan Quenneville | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 23.6% | 37.5% |
| John Hughes | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 21.4% | 21.7% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.