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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.79+1.79vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.50+1.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+0.09vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.81+0.28vs Predicted
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5McGill University1.05+0.57vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.48-1.04vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.02-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.27-1.03vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.82-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79U. S. Naval Academy2.790.3%1st Place
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3.3Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.09Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.28SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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5.57McGill University1.050.1%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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8.21Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Allsopp | 27.5% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 17.8% | 21.8% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| David Nicol | 23.2% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jeff Markarian | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Emerson Krock | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 5.7% |
| Philip Krug | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 5.6% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 34.8% | 19.4% |
| Kenneth Wink | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 16.5% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.