← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.21+7.48vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.26+5.88vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.44+5.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.69vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.28+0.03vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.54+1.99vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.27-1.93vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.30-1.05vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.90vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+2.54vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.69vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.73-2.06vs Predicted
-
13Hampton University0.72-1.27vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.13-0.81vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University0.27-3.97vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia-0.78-1.31vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-0.55-2.88vs Predicted
-
18Drexel University-0.85-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.48Cornell University1.215.3%1st Place
-
7.88Old Dominion University1.266.2%1st Place
-
8.05George Washington University1.445.1%1st Place
-
5.69University of Pennsylvania2.1611.9%1st Place
-
5.03U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.4%1st Place
-
7.99Fordham University1.546.4%1st Place
-
5.07Georgetown University2.2714.5%1st Place
-
6.95Webb Institute1.308.7%1st Place
-
7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.797.3%1st Place
-
12.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.6%1st Place
-
6.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.2%1st Place
-
9.94Christopher Newport University0.733.5%1st Place
-
11.73Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
-
13.19SUNY Maritime College-0.131.5%1st Place
-
11.03Princeton University0.272.4%1st Place
-
14.69University of Virginia-0.780.8%1st Place
-
14.12Washington College-0.550.7%1st Place
-
15.22Drexel University-0.850.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.5% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Luke Barker | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 10.3% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 24.8% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 18.8% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.