← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University2.76+0.92vs Predicted
-
2Wentworth Institute of Technology0.42+3.55vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.79+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.05+0.32vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-0.37+1.89vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59-0.88vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.11-2.78vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University-0.86-0.24vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.21-0.63vs Predicted
-
10Brown University-0.76-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.92McGill University2.760.5%1st Place
-
5.55Wentworth Institute of Technology0.420.1%1st Place
-
3.16Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
-
4.32Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
-
6.89University of New Hampshire-0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.22Brown University1.110.1%1st Place
-
7.76Northeastern University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.37Middlebury College-1.210.0%1st Place
-
7.69Brown University-0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cabrera | 49.2% | 26.7% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Whelan | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Sabina Van Mell | 18.0% | 21.2% | 22.9% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Reed | 7.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Lee | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 11.3% |
| Noa Yoder | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| James Woodwell | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Eleanor Grams | 0.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 23.7% |
| Vick Xu | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 39.9% |
| Grace Gagnon | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 24.8% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.