Race 3B

crews

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Cabrera 48.1% 28.3% 13.3% 6.1% 2.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Woodwell 9.5% 13.6% 16.4% 16.0% 18.4% 11.0% 9.3% 5.0% 0.8% 0.0%
Sabina Van Mell 18.4% 23.1% 20.8% 17.4% 12.1% 5.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
William Whelan 3.6% 6.7% 9.2% 12.7% 13.2% 19.0% 14.8% 13.1% 6.1% 1.6%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.3% 1.1% 2.4% 2.9% 4.1% 5.9% 7.7% 12.6% 21.8% 40.2%
Andrew Reed 10.1% 13.3% 15.5% 16.5% 15.1% 13.7% 9.3% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Daniel Lee 1.6% 2.0% 4.6% 6.1% 8.1% 11.6% 16.9% 19.0% 18.6% 11.5%
Noa Yoder 4.9% 8.2% 11.9% 13.8% 14.7% 16.7% 14.7% 9.6% 4.0% 1.5%
Grace Gagnon 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 4.2% 6.2% 8.9% 12.1% 18.5% 23.5% 20.5%
Eleanor Grams 1.1% 1.5% 3.4% 4.3% 5.7% 6.5% 12.6% 17.0% 23.6% 24.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.