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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sabina Van Mell 20.1% 24.7% 19.0% 15.3% 10.0% 7.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Cabrera 47.0% 29.4% 14.7% 5.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 7.7% 13.2% 22.2% 42.1%
William Whelan 3.5% 6.3% 9.1% 12.4% 16.3% 17.0% 15.7% 11.0% 7.5% 1.2%
James Woodwell 9.9% 13.3% 15.3% 17.9% 18.6% 11.4% 8.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Andrew Reed 9.7% 11.0% 17.3% 17.9% 14.2% 14.3% 9.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Noa Yoder 4.4% 7.6% 12.3% 13.9% 15.7% 16.6% 14.4% 10.9% 3.3% 0.9%
Daniel Lee 1.8% 3.1% 4.7% 6.6% 8.2% 12.5% 15.8% 19.3% 18.4% 9.6%
Grace Gagnon 1.2% 1.6% 3.3% 3.6% 6.3% 7.8% 14.0% 18.5% 21.9% 21.8%
Eleanor Grams 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 4.0% 5.4% 7.3% 12.0% 18.1% 23.8% 23.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.