Race 5B

crews

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Whelan 5.4% 6.1% 10.6% 12.1% 14.3% 15.0% 16.1% 13.0% 5.5% 1.9%
James Woodwell 9.7% 13.9% 14.3% 15.3% 18.7% 13.9% 9.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.1%
Samuel Cabrera 46.4% 29.9% 13.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eleanor Grams 0.7% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 4.6% 9.6% 11.8% 17.7% 25.4% 22.1%
Noa Yoder 6.2% 8.7% 9.9% 13.1% 16.4% 16.4% 14.9% 8.9% 4.3% 1.2%
Sabina Van Mell 20.6% 21.5% 21.3% 16.5% 10.7% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Reed 7.4% 12.0% 17.2% 18.8% 16.6% 13.1% 8.9% 4.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Grace Gagnon 0.7% 2.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.4% 8.2% 12.2% 19.6% 21.3% 21.4%
Nathaniel Wiener 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 4.9% 8.7% 13.8% 20.8% 42.3%
Daniel Lee 1.8% 3.0% 4.5% 6.2% 7.9% 12.0% 15.9% 18.4% 19.6% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.