← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.79+2.10vs Predicted
-
2McGill University2.76-0.11vs Predicted
-
3Wentworth Institute of Technology0.42+2.56vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.11+0.21vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.05-0.71vs Predicted
-
6Brown University-0.76+1.59vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.59-1.85vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.08vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.27-0.54vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University-0.86-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.1Tufts University1.790.2%1st Place
-
1.89McGill University2.760.5%1st Place
-
5.56Wentworth Institute of Technology0.420.0%1st Place
-
4.21Brown University1.110.1%1st Place
-
4.29Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
-
7.59Brown University-0.760.0%1st Place
-
5.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.590.0%1st Place
-
6.92University of New Hampshire-0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.46Middlebury College-1.270.0%1st Place
-
7.84Northeastern University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabina Van Mell | 19.8% | 24.4% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cabrera | 48.7% | 27.7% | 13.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Whelan | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| James Woodwell | 7.9% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Reed | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gagnon | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 22.9% | 20.8% |
| Noa Yoder | 4.7% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Lee | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 16.3% | 11.0% |
| Nathaniel Wiener | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 40.6% |
| Eleanor Grams | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 24.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.