Race 2A

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Tong 25.6% 22.1% 16.1% 14.1% 10.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Logan Russell 11.1% 12.3% 11.0% 11.6% 12.5% 11.3% 9.9% 8.4% 7.7% 3.6% 0.6%
Pierre DuPont 6.2% 6.1% 8.6% 7.0% 7.5% 11.5% 11.1% 12.1% 12.9% 11.5% 5.5%
Jackson Hamilton 13.2% 12.2% 13.0% 15.9% 11.2% 11.2% 8.0% 7.6% 5.0% 2.4% 0.3%
George Williams 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 3.4% 5.4% 9.2% 13.2% 56.6%
Alexandra Swanson 5.7% 6.1% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 10.5% 10.4% 14.0% 10.1% 12.9% 5.9%
Zachary Vickerson 6.4% 6.6% 8.3% 7.9% 8.5% 9.5% 12.3% 11.7% 11.3% 11.7% 5.8%
Ryan Epprecht 7.0% 6.1% 8.0% 8.7% 10.3% 11.1% 10.5% 11.1% 12.4% 9.5% 5.3%
Samuel Campbell 3.6% 4.9% 4.2% 6.3% 6.4% 8.0% 8.6% 11.6% 13.3% 19.9% 13.2%
Kurran Singh 5.8% 6.7% 7.7% 7.3% 9.0% 8.7% 12.1% 11.3% 12.3% 12.7% 6.4%
Sarah De Silva 14.1% 15.1% 13.7% 11.5% 12.7% 9.3% 10.6% 5.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.