Race 1B

dark-night

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Solomon Tarlin 7.6% 9.8% 13.0% 13.9% 18.5% 18.3% 17.5% 1.4%
Amanda Sommi 9.1% 9.9% 12.5% 17.5% 17.6% 17.9% 13.4% 2.1%
Nathan Housberg 10.0% 10.5% 15.0% 15.2% 18.2% 16.4% 13.6% 1.1%
Hannah Polster 31.9% 27.4% 18.5% 12.5% 6.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Ian Morgan 6.1% 7.6% 12.0% 13.5% 16.1% 18.3% 24.5% 1.9%
Tyler Paige 5.4% 8.4% 10.6% 13.3% 14.9% 19.2% 25.7% 2.5%
James Beatty 29.8% 26.1% 17.7% 13.3% 7.4% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Shannon Nardi 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 2.7% 3.3% 90.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.