Race 2B

dark-night

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Beatty 25.9% 23.8% 18.4% 10.8% 9.0% 6.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
John Wehner 9.9% 8.7% 11.9% 15.2% 14.1% 12.4% 10.7% 10.2% 6.4% 0.5%
Solomon Tarlin 6.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.1% 8.7% 15.7% 15.5% 14.7% 12.2% 1.9%
Nathan Housberg 6.9% 8.9% 9.7% 13.0% 14.5% 12.1% 13.4% 11.9% 8.8% 0.8%
Robert Rose 9.6% 10.5% 11.3% 12.4% 14.8% 13.7% 11.4% 9.2% 6.6% 0.5%
Tyler Paige 5.5% 6.9% 8.2% 7.2% 10.2% 11.5% 13.1% 15.5% 20.1% 1.8%
Ian Morgan 4.8% 6.0% 8.3% 9.9% 11.4% 12.2% 15.7% 16.3% 13.3% 2.1%
Claire Lockard 3.5% 4.2% 6.2% 8.1% 7.3% 10.2% 12.1% 17.4% 27.6% 3.4%
Hannah Polster 27.3% 22.9% 17.6% 14.1% 9.3% 4.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Shannon Nardi 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.9% 2.6% 4.1% 89.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.