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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.79+0.88vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.50+0.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.81+0.30vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.48-0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.27+0.93vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.05-1.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy1.02-2.23vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.82-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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2.88U. S. Naval Academy2.790.2%1st Place
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3.19Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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4.84Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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5.75McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Military Academy1.020.1%1st Place
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8.22Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Nicol | 22.1% | 20.9% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 24.6% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 21.9% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Markarian | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Philip Krug | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 33.6% | 18.7% |
| Emerson Krock | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 5.1% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 5.4% |
| Kenneth Wink | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 15.1% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.