← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+5.26vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.00vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.44+5.04vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.54+3.88vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute1.30+2.20vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.27-0.88vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.16-2.38vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.21-0.53vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University0.27+1.12vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.26-3.32vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+0.44vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.73-2.97vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.72-2.47vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia-0.78-0.17vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University-0.85-0.90vs Predicted
-
17Washington College-0.55-2.80vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-0.13-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.5%1st Place
-
5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.6%1st Place
-
8.04George Washington University1.446.2%1st Place
-
7.88Fordham University1.545.8%1st Place
-
7.2Webb Institute1.306.8%1st Place
-
5.12Georgetown University2.2713.5%1st Place
-
7.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.797.6%1st Place
-
5.62University of Pennsylvania2.1611.7%1st Place
-
8.47Cornell University1.215.2%1st Place
-
11.12Princeton University0.272.5%1st Place
-
7.68Old Dominion University1.266.8%1st Place
-
12.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.5%1st Place
-
10.03Christopher Newport University0.732.9%1st Place
-
11.53Hampton University0.722.5%1st Place
-
14.83University of Virginia-0.780.7%1st Place
-
15.1Drexel University-0.850.9%1st Place
-
14.2Washington College-0.550.8%1st Place
-
13.29SUNY Maritime College-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Klempen | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 25.9% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 31.7% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 18.3% |
| Luke Barker | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.