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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.21vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.23vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.81+1.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy1.02+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.27+1.87vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.48-1.04vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.05-1.27vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.82+0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.79-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.23Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.39SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.73McGill University1.050.1%1st Place
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8.2Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
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2.71U. S. Naval Academy2.790.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 21.0% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| David Nicol | 18.7% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Markarian | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 5.1% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 32.5% | 19.9% |
| Philip Krug | 6.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Emerson Krock | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 4.1% |
| Kenneth Wink | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 14.6% | 67.9% |
| James Allsopp | 30.7% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.