← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.27+4.09vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.21+6.60vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+4.22vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.81vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.44+2.23vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute1.30+0.30vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.54+0.28vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.26-1.37vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-3.65vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University0.72+1.00vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.73-1.89vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia-0.78+1.91vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University0.27-2.64vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.72vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-5.24vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University-0.85-1.68vs Predicted
-
18Washington College-0.55-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.09Georgetown University2.2713.9%1st Place
-
8.6Cornell University1.215.8%1st Place
-
7.22St. Mary's College of Maryland1.797.4%1st Place
-
5.2U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.2%1st Place
-
5.81University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
-
8.23George Washington University1.445.9%1st Place
-
7.3Webb Institute1.306.6%1st Place
-
8.28Fordham University1.545.7%1st Place
-
7.63Old Dominion University1.267.3%1st Place
-
6.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.7%1st Place
-
12.0Hampton University0.722.0%1st Place
-
10.11Christopher Newport University0.733.4%1st Place
-
14.91University of Virginia-0.780.5%1st Place
-
11.36Princeton University0.272.9%1st Place
-
12.28SUNY Maritime College-0.022.1%1st Place
-
10.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.6%1st Place
-
15.32Drexel University-0.850.4%1st Place
-
14.55Washington College-0.550.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Blake Goodwin | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 26.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.8% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 20.8% | 34.8% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.