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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.83vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+7.47vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.90vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+5.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+2.44vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+1.64vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.77vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+1.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+1.73vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.29vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.65-3.72vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.96vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.70-1.80vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.36vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-9.23vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.38-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.54University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.73Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.26SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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13.2Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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14.24Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Raul Rios | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 21.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 33.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.