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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.86vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.81vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+3.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.50vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.14vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+1.82vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.59+0.70vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+1.70vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.22vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38+2.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.00vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-6.73vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-5.81vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.70-7.66vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.70-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.5Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.14SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.7University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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11.7Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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14.58Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.12Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Raul Rios | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 39.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.