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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+7.60vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.67vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+6.08vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.31vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+2.41vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.59+1.62vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70+0.21vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49+0.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-3.39vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.70+1.51vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.50vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.57vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.44vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-1.60vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.18-5.46vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.67Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.08Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.59Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.41College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.61Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.51Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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14.4Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.54Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.94SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Raul Rios | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 24.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 35.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 7.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.