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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+8.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.81vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+2.44vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.98vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.59+3.70vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70+1.15vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+1.10vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-2.26vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.65-1.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.02vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.53vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.72vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-0.72vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-4.50vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.70-3.53vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.44Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.98SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.7University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.15Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.64College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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14.28Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.47Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 33.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Timothy Siemers | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 22.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.