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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.81vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+6.62vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+3.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.58vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.59vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.08vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+3.31vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-0.20vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.82-1.05vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-0.80vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-3.50vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.82-1.59vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University4.36-8.59vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.59vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-7.96vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.71-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.81Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.62College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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7.38Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University3.790.0%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.5University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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12.41Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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15.82Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Raul Rios | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.