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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+5.71vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.25+9.34vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+4.66vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.25vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+5.35vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+1.81vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-0.45vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-0.55vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-2.17vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-1.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.52vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.98vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-5.37vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.38vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.82-4.11vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.71-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.34SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.32College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.35Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.55Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.45Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.83Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.63University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.89Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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15.81Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 13.7% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.