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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.82+11.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+3.52vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+5.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.47vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.09vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.77vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.32vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.59-2.12vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.01vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.18-3.19vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.15vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-6.03vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.09-0.23vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.13-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.63Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.65Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.12College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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10.81Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.85SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.97George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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16.77Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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11.21Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 8.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Raul Rios | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 2.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Claire Riedman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 73.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.