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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+8.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.60vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+3.50vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+4.51vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+3.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+1.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-0.61vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+0.90vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.29vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.18-0.51vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-0.63vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.09+2.66vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-6.38vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-4.56vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.72vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.65-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.5Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.39Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.9George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.99SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.37Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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16.66Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.44Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 7.7% |
| Claire Riedman | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 69.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Cook | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.