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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.27+4.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.54+6.12vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+5.17vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.72+7.93vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.70vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.38vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.26+0.83vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.21+0.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.02vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.73+0.10vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.30-3.73vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.27-0.58vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.72vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-0.78+0.88vs Predicted
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15Washington College-0.55-0.45vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-5.34vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-9.55vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-0.85-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Georgetown University2.2714.1%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University1.545.4%1st Place
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8.17George Washington University1.445.7%1st Place
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11.93Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
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5.7University of Pennsylvania2.1610.8%1st Place
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6.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.138.8%1st Place
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7.83Old Dominion University1.265.8%1st Place
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8.75Cornell University1.215.2%1st Place
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4.98U. S. Naval Academy2.2815.0%1st Place
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10.1Christopher Newport University0.733.6%1st Place
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7.27Webb Institute1.306.9%1st Place
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11.42Princeton University0.272.9%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Maritime College-0.021.9%1st Place
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14.88University of Virginia-0.781.0%1st Place
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14.55Washington College-0.550.9%1st Place
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10.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.642.9%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland1.796.9%1st Place
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15.32Drexel University-0.850.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Barnard | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Welburn | 15.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Mason Chapman | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 26.7% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 22.1% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.