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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.25vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.81+1.40vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.05+1.61vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.48-0.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.02-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.27+0.02vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.82+0.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.79-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.25Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.4SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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5.61McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
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4.82Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.75U. S. Military Academy1.020.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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8.2Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
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2.74U. S. Naval Academy2.790.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 21.0% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| David Nicol | 18.6% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jeff Markarian | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Emerson Krock | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 4.7% |
| Philip Krug | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 5.2% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 17.4% | 35.2% | 19.5% |
| Kenneth Wink | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 14.9% | 67.3% |
| James Allsopp | 30.0% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.