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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+6.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+7.35vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+8.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+7.07vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+3.55vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.36+0.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.49+2.97vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.64vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.65vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.18vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.66vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-2.32vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.09+3.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.06vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-5.52vs Predicted
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16Yale University4.08-8.39vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-7.40vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.82-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.35Boston University3.700.0%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.07Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.55Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.97George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.68College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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16.7Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.48University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.47Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 3.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Claire Riedman | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 9.3% | 72.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.