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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+6.75vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+9.58vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.59+6.82vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+4.99vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.22vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+1.30vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-0.47vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-2.37vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.36-4.48vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-4.10vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-3.12vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.32vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.60vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-3.29vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.09-0.17vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.58Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.82University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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8.99Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.3College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.53Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.9Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.68SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.71Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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16.83Cornell University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 3.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 8.3% |
| Claire Riedman | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 75.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.