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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+6.43vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+6.03vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+5.29vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.01vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80+5.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.81vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.36vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41+0.10vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24+0.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.63vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.54+1.14vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.47-4.18vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-3.06vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.72-7.23vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-6.83vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.92-5.57vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.29Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.82Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.1George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.2Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.14Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.94Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.77Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.43University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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10.59SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Augie Dale | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Charles Miller | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 25.4% |
| Sean Golden | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| William Hawk | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% |
| Nick Valente | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.