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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+9.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+7.15vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+6.35vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.66vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.89+2.10vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.18vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.31vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92+1.58vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.67-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.92-0.30vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.80-1.36vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-6.44vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.41-5.87vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-3.08vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.73-9.06vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.43-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.95SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.58Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.7University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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11.64Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.92Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Sean Golden | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Michael Popp | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Charles Rees | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% |
| David Larson | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Charles Miller | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| William Hawk | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Augie Dale | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Baird | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 23.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.