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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+9.93vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+5.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+6.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+3.78vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.18vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54+6.86vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+0.78vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+3.21vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+2.81vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.88vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.04vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.47-2.68vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-5.08vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-4.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.02vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.54vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-7.69vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.92-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.93SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.3College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.33Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.86Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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11.81Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.59Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.14University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% |
| Charles Rees | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 22.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| William Hawk | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Sean Golden | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| Michael Popp | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Charles Miller | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.