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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+7.14vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+7.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.42vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.65vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.03vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.35vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+2.12vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.89-0.93vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.47-0.15vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92+1.56vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-2.01vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-1.73vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-0.27vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-2.50vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.03vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-8.17vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.92-5.50vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.65SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.85Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.56Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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10.27Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.73Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.83Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.5University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% |
| Augie Dale | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Charles Rees | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Sean Golden | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| William Hawk | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 21.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% |
| Michael Popp | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.