← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.73+7.00vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.24+8.16vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.72+5.09vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.89+3.02vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.67+3.04vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University3.41+3.15vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.16vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.36vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.92+2.34vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.84vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.92+0.42vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.59vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.35vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.80-2.52vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University3.43-5.94vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.47-7.04vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.54-3.99vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.05-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.0Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
10.16Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
8.09Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
7.02College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.04Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.15George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.34Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.42University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
11.48Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
9.06Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.96Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
13.01Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
10.53SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Charles Rees | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Augie Dale | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Charles Miller | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| William Hawk | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| David Larson | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Sean Golden | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 22.9% |
| Nick Valente | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.