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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+7.05vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+7.17vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.08vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.13vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+1.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.78vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80+3.73vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-1.05vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.33vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-1.76vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-2.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.12vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-1.50vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.89-7.90vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.92-4.62vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-6.91vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.92-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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11.73Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.95Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.5Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.09Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.11University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Sean Golden | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| David Larson | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% |
| Augie Dale | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Michael Popp | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 21.4% |
| Charles Rees | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.