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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+7.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+6.18vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+4.66vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+3.89vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+1.68vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.59vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.42vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-1.16vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.80+1.91vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-3.88vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-0.53vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-0.50vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-6.02vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.43vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.92-4.79vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.24-7.10vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.72-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.68Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.59SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.58Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.84Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.91Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.12College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.47Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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12.5Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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11.21University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.9Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.82George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Sean Golden | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Nick Valente | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Augie Dale | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.6% |
| Charles Rees | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| William Hawk | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 19.9% |
| Charles Miller | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| David Larson | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.