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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+6.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+7.11vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+4.18vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.48vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.57vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54+6.72vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.66vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.92+2.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24+0.01vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-3.19vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-0.50vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.07vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.72-2.37vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-3.40vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-8.08vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.43-7.89vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.48SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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12.72Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.67Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.2University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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10.01Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.63George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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11.6Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michael Popp | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Charles Rees | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Nick Valente | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 20.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Sean Golden | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| William Hawk | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
| Augie Dale | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.