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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+6.98vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16+2.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.22+3.46vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.30+1.06vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.27+4.18vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.21+0.41vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.44-0.86vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.27-4.89vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+0.53vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.73-3.07vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.13-0.82vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-0.78-0.22vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.72-4.15vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.55-2.78vs Predicted
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18Drexel University-0.85-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Fordham University1.545.8%1st Place
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6.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.9%1st Place
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5.67University of Pennsylvania2.1612.4%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.8%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University1.224.8%1st Place
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7.06Webb Institute1.307.4%1st Place
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11.18Princeton University0.272.5%1st Place
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8.41Cornell University1.215.0%1st Place
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8.14George Washington University1.446.0%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University2.2714.1%1st Place
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6.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.5%1st Place
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12.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.3%1st Place
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9.93Christopher Newport University0.733.4%1st Place
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13.18SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
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14.78University of Virginia-0.780.4%1st Place
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11.85Hampton University0.721.7%1st Place
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14.22Washington College-0.551.0%1st Place
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15.19Drexel University-0.850.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 12.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Barnard | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Finora | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 26.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.