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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Philip Gordon 22.6% 17.5% 15.7% 14.5% 10.3% 9.4% 6.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Patrick Taylor 12.5% 12.5% 16.4% 12.9% 14.6% 11.9% 10.0% 5.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Glen Stellmacher 25.3% 24.7% 15.9% 14.7% 9.4% 5.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Alex Waldron 3.8% 3.9% 5.8% 7.6% 8.8% 11.1% 14.8% 18.3% 16.5% 9.4%
Peter McGrath 13.8% 14.0% 15.5% 14.0% 14.9% 12.5% 7.8% 4.6% 2.0% 0.9%
Ashley Vincent 9.3% 8.2% 9.1% 9.8% 13.9% 13.0% 13.8% 12.0% 8.6% 2.3%
Alyce Flanagan 5.8% 10.7% 10.7% 12.1% 12.8% 14.8% 13.8% 11.0% 6.4% 1.9%
Philip Bowman 3.6% 4.4% 5.3% 7.5% 8.1% 9.5% 13.5% 18.6% 16.8% 12.7%
David Eva 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 6.8% 9.8% 15.0% 24.3% 28.8%
Michael Trombatore 1.4% 1.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 5.5% 7.3% 11.1% 21.0% 43.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.