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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon2.51+2.46vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.15+2.30vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.87-0.05vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.02+2.62vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.21-0.88vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.62-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.69-1.78vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.93-1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound0.36-1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.03-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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4.3Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.12Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.33Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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6.77Western Washington University0.930.0%1st Place
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7.87University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 22.6% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Taylor | 12.5% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 25.3% | 24.7% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 9.4% |
| Peter McGrath | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Vincent | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 5.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Philip Bowman | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% |
| David Eva | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 24.3% | 28.8% |
| Michael Trombatore | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.0% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.