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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.35vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+8.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+5.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.73vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+4.04vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+2.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.99vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+3.20vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41+0.12vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-1.87vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.47-1.97vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.89-4.52vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.80-1.37vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.85vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.92-3.71vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-7.10vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.10vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.54-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.04Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.11Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.2Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.12George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.63Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.29University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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10.9SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.69Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Augie Dale | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| William Hawk | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Sean Golden | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% |
| Charles Rees | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 14.8% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Nick Valente | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.