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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.36+2.11vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.38+5.97vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.67-0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.30+1.19vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.09+4.15vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.31+1.21vs Predicted
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7Washington University-0.76+1.19vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University0.24-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-0.03-2.68vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-0.55-2.23vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.83-0.28vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-0.22-5.24vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.55-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Michigan1.3623.6%1st Place
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7.97Northwestern University-0.382.9%1st Place
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2.61University of Wisconsin1.6732.5%1st Place
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5.19University of Wisconsin0.309.7%1st Place
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9.15Marquette University-1.092.4%1st Place
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7.21Hope College-0.313.6%1st Place
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8.19Washington University-0.762.9%1st Place
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5.83Texas A&M University0.246.9%1st Place
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6.32University of Saint Thomas-0.035.8%1st Place
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7.77University of Minnesota-0.552.8%1st Place
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10.72Grand Valley State University-1.830.8%1st Place
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6.76Unknown School-0.225.2%1st Place
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10.17Arizona State University-1.551.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Rebain | 23.6% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| William Styslinger | 32.5% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Harms | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Karle | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Alexandra Adams | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Kate Hennig | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Isaac Sparber | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Lucy Herlein | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 39.2% |
| Casey Dietsch | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.