Race 2A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Philip Gordon 21.1% 18.0% 16.2% 13.9% 12.2% 9.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Peter McGrath 12.6% 15.0% 14.7% 16.5% 14.0% 10.8% 7.4% 6.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Patrick Taylor 12.8% 13.4% 12.3% 13.3% 16.3% 13.8% 9.3% 6.2% 2.3% 0.3%
Alyce Flanagan 7.0% 8.1% 12.8% 12.0% 12.0% 15.1% 14.5% 9.8% 6.5% 2.2%
Glen Stellmacher 27.4% 24.7% 16.5% 14.6% 6.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Ashley Vincent 8.6% 9.4% 8.4% 10.5% 14.7% 12.2% 13.2% 10.8% 9.7% 2.5%
Alex Waldron 3.4% 3.2% 7.4% 6.3% 7.9% 12.4% 15.6% 17.5% 17.2% 9.1%
Philip Bowman 3.8% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 7.9% 10.7% 12.4% 19.8% 17.6% 11.6%
Michael Trombatore 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 3.3% 2.9% 5.4% 7.6% 10.6% 21.8% 43.2%
David Eva 1.8% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 5.8% 5.4% 10.7% 15.2% 21.2% 30.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.