← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.22+7.37vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.19vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.54+4.97vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.14+4.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.69vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute1.30+1.01vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.28-1.96vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-1.86vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+3.46vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University0.27+1.17vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.73-1.16vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.27-6.91vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.44-4.83vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University0.72-2.02vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia-0.78-0.28vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College-0.13-2.87vs Predicted
-
17Drexel University-0.85-1.83vs Predicted
-
18Washington College-0.55-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.37Old Dominion University1.225.0%1st Place
-
6.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.0510.3%1st Place
-
7.97Fordham University1.545.4%1st Place
-
8.5Cornell University1.144.2%1st Place
-
5.69University of Pennsylvania2.1611.2%1st Place
-
7.01Webb Institute1.307.8%1st Place
-
5.04U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.1%1st Place
-
6.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.7%1st Place
-
12.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.131.5%1st Place
-
11.17Princeton University0.272.9%1st Place
-
9.84Christopher Newport University0.733.7%1st Place
-
5.09Georgetown University2.2713.0%1st Place
-
8.17George Washington University1.445.9%1st Place
-
11.98Hampton University0.721.5%1st Place
-
14.72University of Virginia-0.780.9%1st Place
-
13.13SUNY Maritime College-0.131.6%1st Place
-
15.17Drexel University-0.850.8%1st Place
-
14.35Washington College-0.550.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierce Brindley | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Anderson | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Gustafson | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 14.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% |
| Jasper Waldman | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Mason Chapman | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 25.9% |
| Luke Barker | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 33.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.