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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.88+4.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+3.84vs Predicted
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4Santa Barbara City College1.82+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33-0.14vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.15-2.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.37vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.80vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.50+1.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+1.94vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.50-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.23+0.29vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.13-1.72vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.21+0.32vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University0.59-4.97vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.21-1.68vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.39-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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6.07University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.32Santa Barbara City College1.820.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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3.11Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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8.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Victoria0.500.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.18Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.29University of California at Davis-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.28Arizona State University0.130.0%1st Place
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14.32California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.03Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.32California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.66University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 21.8% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 26.2% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Sara | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Gautier-Castro | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 52.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 52.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.