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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.88+5.00vs Predicted
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2Santa Barbara City College1.82+4.22vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.62+1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.32vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.50+3.26vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.50+1.18vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.15-6.91vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.13+0.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-0.14vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.21+1.35vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University0.59-4.17vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.23-2.64vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.21-1.65vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.39-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.22Santa Barbara City College1.820.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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10.26Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Victoria0.500.0%1st Place
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3.09Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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11.28Arizona State University0.130.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.35California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.83Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Davis-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.35California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.68University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 13.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 21.3% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 25.9% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Gautier-Castro | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Sara | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.