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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.88+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.33+1.84vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15-0.88vs Predicted
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5Santa Barbara City College1.82+1.28vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.50+1.19vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.50+0.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.23+1.25vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.13-0.71vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.21+1.35vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University0.59-4.14vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.21-0.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.39-5.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.06-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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3.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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3.12Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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6.28Santa Barbara City College1.820.1%1st Place
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8.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Victoria0.500.0%1st Place
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10.29Western Washington University0.500.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Davis-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.29Arizona State University0.130.0%1st Place
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14.35California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.86Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.35California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 21.6% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 25.6% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leh Smallshaw | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmine Gerraty | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Sara | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Gautier-Castro | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Winter | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 53.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.