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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.18+0.83vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.61+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.18+2.17vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.64+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.02-2.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.45-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.4%1st Place
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2.83University of Southern California1.180.2%1st Place
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3.77California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.17University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Weitz | 44.7% | 28.7% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 22.5% | 25.8% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 12.5% | 13.7% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Garcia | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.9% |
| David Luu | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 18.7% |
| Belle Lemoine | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 9.2% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 38.0% |
| Alexander Daniele | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 14.4% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.