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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+1.04vs Predicted
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2California State University Monterey Bay0.61+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.45+1.77vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.64+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.18+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.02-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.18-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.5%1st Place
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3.75California State University Monterey Bay0.610.1%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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5.77University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Davis-1.640.0%1st Place
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7.24University of California at San Diego-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.020.0%1st Place
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2.89University of Southern California1.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Weitz | 45.2% | 27.4% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gibbons | 13.1% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Garcia | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.1% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 2.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
| Belle Lemoine | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Naro | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 37.6% |
| David Luu | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
| Alexander Daniele | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 13.8% |
| Aaron Kiyotoki | 21.5% | 26.6% | 21.3% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.